A Simple View of Craps Probabilities

A Simple View of Craps Probabilities

The reason why craps is somehow better than slots is because it offers a space for the study of probability. The main medium of craps is dice, a favorite thing of mathematicians and logicians. But of course, you don’t need to have an astounding IQ to understand these probabilities!

What you need to remember is that there are 36 possible rolls in two six-sided dice. It is outlined in the chart below. Study this chart carefully and see how you can devise a perfect strategy in online craps.

If you notice, the most probable outcome of a dice is 7. Ring any bells? If you bet on the passline, you have 16.67% of winning instantly. And oh, you also win if the outcome is 11. That’s 16.67% + 5.56% = 22.23% of winning!

But isn’t 2, 3, and 12 losing numbers? Let’s see, that’s 2.78% + 5.56% + 2.78% = 11.12%. Look at that, your chances of winning are still greater than your chances of losing.

Notice again that the chances of winning and losing comprise exactly 1/3 of the potential outcome. That means 2/3 of the time, you’ll be faced with a point number.

Try to use this table to think about other probabilities. Are the proposition bets worth it? When is the don’t pass bet advantageous? You might find the answers in complicated guides, but discovering the solutions yourself is far more fun, plus you get to understand the game completely!

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